At the beginning of the 1990s, some African countries experienced socio-political crises, which led to the restoration of the multiparty system characterized by the organization of competitive elections. In West Africa, after three decades, statistics indicate that with the exception of Togo elections have led to political alternations in all countries. These alternations result from an instability of the electorate of the parties in power either in favor of an opposition party or in favor of an independent candidate. The lack of alternation in Togo does not reflect the stability of its electorate. From 1990 to 2020, presidential election statistics show that the Togolese electorate is also unstable. However, this instability produces a paradoxical effect by strengthening the party in power. This article analyzes the determinants of the paradox of instability and its implications in Togo. The methodology adopted is a combination of documentary research with qualitative research. The results reveal that the paradox induced by the instability of the vote comes from the crises within the political parties, the electoral offer and the emergence of new electoral issues. This paradox constitutes a barrier to alternation.
Keywords: Conjuncture, mobility, supply, paradox, rationality, strategy and vote.
